Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 19.376201 22.376227 25.617650 29.371588 33.590371 38.175970 43.528076
2025-09-28 13.770595 17.794373 22.561568 28.584354 35.944775 44.598907 55.491372
2025-10-05 11.626087 16.373338 22.402556 30.523726 41.065128 54.162992 71.528290
2025-10-12 10.057569 15.231873 22.195817 32.081128 45.549377 63.030563 87.165147
2025-10-19 8.535319 13.818177 21.312713 32.461687 48.313251 69.682270 100.226783
2025-10-26 7.305669 12.582984 20.440905 32.637312 50.651294 75.760956 112.757177
2025-11-02 6.183009 11.308043 19.302075 32.218590 51.987808 80.409303 123.464570
2025-11-09 5.225718 10.132396 18.136538 31.573864 52.840985 84.308955 133.217401
2025-11-16 4.416507 9.069023 16.996574 30.803601 53.362464 87.658014 142.251812
2025-11-23 3.676781 8.002976 15.704803 29.617725 53.071959 89.681578 149.322193
2025-11-30 3.389173 7.732797 15.742180 30.635834 56.367750 97.366093 165.361764
2025-12-07 3.093859 7.398918 15.618326 31.343018 59.167753 104.388944 180.687723
2025-12-14 2.642800 6.704100 14.800810 30.841464 60.063709 108.709055 192.496694
2025-12-21 2.213529 5.981741 13.847053 30.010790 60.360596 112.145581 203.242428
2025-12-28 2.123329 6.005028 14.376657 32.031194 65.887607 124.653527 229.545582
2026-01-04 2.001798 5.931196 14.691998 33.654131 70.793649 136.364092 255.096896
2026-01-11 1.792190 5.599413 14.412363 34.050654 73.426128 144.260850 274.566603
2026-01-18 1.593541 5.253852 14.052162 34.233652 75.644216 151.522503 293.270926
2026-01-25 1.380581 4.822339 13.433622 33.797319 76.602042 156.544975 308.276524
2026-02-01 1.183576 4.388955 12.745036 33.125416 77.016975 160.565711 321.661800
2026-02-08 1.007759 3.973998 12.036604 32.322582 77.081327 163.904527 333.938446
2026-02-15 0.837760 3.530692 11.184660 31.086334 76.125185 165.225114 342.549792
2026-02-22 0.785472 3.463087 11.305293 32.147705 80.112556 176.233318 369.555242